Tip of the iceberg: unveiling the impact on back disorders from cumulative physical job exposure and evaluating bias from the healthy worker effect using a nationwide longitudinal cohort study.

PURPOSE: Longitudinal studies across various sectors with physically demanding jobs are notably absent in back disorder risk research. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between cumulative physical job exposure (PJE) and hospital-diagnosed back disorders among individuals in Denmark. To assess the healthy worker effect, we compared the cumulative risk estimate with results from a naive cross-sectional model ignoring PJE history. METHODS: A nationwide longitudinal cohort study was conducted using Danish registers, encompassing individuals born between 1975 and 1978 and working in 1996. Cumulative PJE was measured with a 10-year look-back period for each year 2006-2017. PJE consisted of lower-body occupational exposures, including the total weight lifted, stand/sit ratio, and the frequency of lifting more than 20 kg per day from a job exposure matrix. Odds ratio for back disorders was estimated for each year and all years combined. RESULTS: The results unveiled a significant 31% increase in the risk of hospital-diagnosed back disorders after 4 years of cumulative PJE. The lowest risk (7%) was observed for incident back disorders with 1 year of exposure, suggesting a healthy worker effect. Nevertheless, this risk is still significantly elevated. This cumulative estimate is fourfold the estimate from the 2006 naive cross section model. CONCLUSION: Our study clearly demonstrates an 31% increase in the risk of hospital-diagnosed back disorders with just 4 years of PJE over a 10-year period. Further, we find that cross-sectional studies strongly underestimate the risk of back disorders due to the healthy worker effect.

Opportunistically identifiable vertebral fractures on routine radiological imaging predict mortality: observational cohort study.

In men and women with opportunistically identifiable vertebral fractures (VFs) on routine CT scans including the chest and/or abdomen, the risk of death is 51% higher than in those with no VF on the CT scan, and 325% higher than an age- and sex-matched general population cohort. PURPOSE: There is little knowledge about the risk of death in patients with VFs present on routine radiological imaging. We evaluated the risk of death in men and women aged 50 years or older with opportunistically identifiable VFs on routine CT scans and not treated with osteoporosis medications. METHODS: Thoracic and lumbar VFs were identified through a blinded, two-step approach on CT scans performed as part of normal clinical care in a Danish hospital in 2010 or later. Subjects with VF were matched on age and sex against those with no VF (1:2-ratio) and a general population cohort (1:3-ratio), respectively, and followed for up to 7 years through the national Danish registers. Subjects treated with an osteoporosis medication in the year prior to baseline were excluded. RESULTS: Subjects with VF had a significantly higher risk of death during follow-up as compared to subjects with no VF on the CT scan (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.51 [95% confidence interval 1.27-1.79; p < 0.001]) and even more so when compared to the general population cohort (HR 4.25 [3.53-5.12; p < 0.001]). In subjects with versus without VF on the CT scan, the risk was higher in those with moderate or severe VF, in those with no malignancy prior to baseline, and in those with a lower Charlson comorbidity index score. CONCLUSION: Subjects with VF available for identification on routine CT scans face a substantially increased risk of death. Opportunistic identification and reporting of VF is important to identify these patients to allow intervention if indicated.

Increasing capitation in mixed remuneration schemes: Effects on service provision and process quality of care.

Many health systems apply mixed remuneration schemes for general practitioners, but little is known about the effects on service provision of changing the relative mix of fee for services and capitation. We apply difference-in-differences analyses to evaluate a reform that effectively reversed the mix between fee for services and capitation from 80/20 to 20/80 for patients with type 2 diabetes. Our results show reductions in provision of both the contact services that became capitated and in other non-capitated (still-billable) services. Reduced provision also occurred for guideline-recommended process quality services. We find that the effects are mainly driven by patients with co-morbidities and by general practitioners with high income, relatively many diabetes patients, and solo practitioners. Thus, increasing capitation in a mixed remuneration schemes appears to reduce service provision for patients with type 2 diabetes monitored in general practice with a risk of unwanted quality effects.

Healthcare costs associated with opportunistically identifiable vertebral fractures.

PURPOSE: Vertebral fractures (VFs) are often available on radiological imaging undertaken during daily clinical work, yet the healthcare cost burden of these opportunistically identifiable fractures has not previously been reported. In this study, we examine the direct healthcare costs of subjects with vertebral fractures available for identification on routine CT scans. METHODS: Thoracolumbar vertebral fractures were identified from 2000 routine CT scans. Subjects with VF on the scan were matched 1:2 against subjects with no VF on the scan, and similarly in a 1:3-ratio against a general population cohort. We excluded those subjects who received treatment with osteoporosis medication(s) in the year prior to baseline. Direct healthcare costs, identified from the national Danish registers, were accrued over up to 6 years of follow-up, and reported per day at risk and per year. RESULTS: In subjects undergoing a CT scan, costs were initially high, yet declined over time. Comparing subjects with prevalent vertebral fracture (n = 321) against those subjects with no vertebral fracture (n = 606), mean total healthcare costs per day at risk was numerically higher in the first three years after baseline, while healthcare costs per year were similar between the cohorts. No differences reached statistical significance. When compared to the general population cohort, costs were significantly higher in the vertebral fracture cohort. CONCLUSION: Subjects with vertebral fractures available for identification on routine CT scans incur substantially higher healthcare costs than matched subjects representing the general population, and numerically, albeit non-significantly, higher healthcare costs per day at risk in the short term, as compared to subjects with no visible VF on the CT scan.

Fracture Risk in Men and Women With Vertebral Fractures Identified Opportunistically on Routine Computed Tomography Scans and Not Treated for Osteoporosis: An Observational Cohort Study.

Vertebral fractures (VFs) have been associated with future fractures, yet few studies have evaluated whether this pertains to VFs available for identification on routine radiological imaging. We sought to evaluate the risk of subsequent fractures in subjects with VF identified opportunistically on computed tomography (CT) scans performed as part of routine clinical practice. From the radiology database of Holbæk Hospital we identified the first CT scan including the thorax and/or abdomen of 2000 consecutive men and women aged 50 years or older, performed from January 1, 2010 onward. The scans were assessed in a blinded approach to identify chest and lumbar VF, and these data linked to national Danish registers. Subjects were excluded if treated with an osteoporosis medication (OM) in the year prior to baseline (date of CT), and the remaining subjects with VF matched on age and sex in 1:2 ratio against subjects with no VF. We found that the risk of major osteoporotic fractures (hip, non-cervical vertebral, humerus, and distal forearm fractures) was higher for subjects with VF than without VF: incidence rates (IRs) were 32.88 and 19.59 fractures per 1000 subject-years, respectively, and the adjusted hazard ratio (HRadj) was 1.72 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-2.86). Subsequent hip fracture IRs were 16.75 and 6.60; HRadj 3.02 (95% CI, 1.39-6.55). There were no significant differences in other fracture outcomes (including a pooled estimate of any subsequent fracture, except face, skull, and fingers: IRs 41.52 and 31.38; HRadj 1.31 [95% CI, 0.85-2.03]). Our findings suggest that subjects undergoing routine CT scans including the chest and/or abdomen are a high risk population in terms of fracture risk. Even within this group, subjects with VF are at higher risk of future major osteoporotic fracture (MOF), in particular hip fracture. Hence, systematic opportunistic screening for VF and subsequent fracture risk management is important to reduce the risk of new fractures. © 2023 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Return to work: does cardiac rehabilitation make a difference? Danish nationwide register-based study.

AIM: to assess whether participation in cardiac rehabilitation affects the probability of returning to work after ischaemic heart disease. METHODS: the study population consisted of 24,509 patients (18-70 years of age) discharged from an inpatient admission at a Danish hospital during 2014-2018 and who were working before their admission. Only patients with a percutaneous coronary intervention or coronary artery bypass grafting surgery procedure and ICD-10 codes I20-I25 as their main diagnosis or ICD-10 codes I21, I240, I248 or I249 as secondary diagnosis during an emergency admission were included. Exposure was defined as participation in cardiac rehabilitation (N = 15,742), and binary indicator of being at work in the last week of a given month were used as primary outcomes. Coarsened exact matching (CEM) of exposed and unexposed patients was used to reduce selection bias. Logistic regression models were applied on the matched population (N = 15,762). RESULTS: Less deprived and less comorbid patients were more likely to receive cardiac rehabilitation. CEM succeeded in arriving at a population where this selection was reduced and in this population we found that patients who received cardiac rehabilitation had a lower probability of returning to work after 3 months (OR 0.81, 95%CI: 0.77-0.84), a higher but insignificant probability after 6 (OR 1.02, 95%CI: 0.97-1.08), and a higher probability after 9 (OR 1.08, 95%CI: 1.02-1.15) and 12 months (OR 1.20, 95%CI: 1.13-1.28). CONCLUSIONS: Deprived and comorbid patients have lower use of cardiac rehabilitation. In a matched population where this bias is reduced, cardiac rehabilitation will increase the probability of returning to work.

Effects of screening for anxiety and depression in patients with ischaemic heart disease - a nationwide Danish register study.

AIM: To investigate the effect of screening for anxiety and depression (AD) in patients with ischaemic heart disease (IHD) on the likelihood of receiving treatment for AD. METHODS: We used a nationwide dataset of all Danish patients with an incident IHD diagnosis in the period 2015-2018 (N = 80,701) of which 20,461 (25%) were exposed to screening for AD as part of cardiac rehabilitation. A binary composite indicator for the use of any AD treatment (prescriptions of AD drugs, general practitioner (GP) counselling or referral to a psychologist), was modelled as the dependent variable. The probability of receiving AD treatment was estimated using linear probability and instrumental variable regression models. RESULTS: Exposure to AD screening was lower for patients with low income (change in probability -0.67, 95% CI -0.76; -0.59), low education (change in probability -0.16, 95% CI -0.20; -0.13), and a high comorbidity burden (change in probability -0.09, 95% CI -0.10; -0.07). Screened patients had a lower conditional probability of AD treatment (change in probability -0.0061, p < 0.001) than non-screened patients. The patient's GP also had an impact on the probability of being referred for AD treatment. Using an instrumental variable approach did not affect the results. CONCLUSIONS: Screening for AD was subject to selection at the patient level; patients at lower risk of AD had a higher probability of being screened. Hence, extending systematic screening to cover a larger population may not achieve a noticeable increase in the uptake of AD treatment if it is not supported by appropriate measures to reduce reverse selection into screening.

Co-payment and adolescents' use of psychologist treatment: Spill over effects on mental health care and on suicide attempts.

The literature around co-payment shows evidence of increasing consumption following reduced co-payment. We apply difference-in-difference methods to assess the effect of abolishing the co-payment on psychologist treatment of anxiety and depression in 18 to 21-year olds. We apply nationwide individual level data with individuals close to this age interval as control group. The population amounts to approximately 1.2 million individuals and a total of 51 million patient months of observations. We show that after removing co-payment, the use of psychologist treatment almost doubles. We find that this increase involves moderately positive spill over effects on outpatient psychiatric care and on prescriptions of antidepressants. In the heterogeneity analysis we find evidence of higher effects on adolescents from families with lower income, indicating that reduced co-payments may increase equality in access. We also see that effects are higher for individuals listed with general practitioners (GPs) with a reluctant referral style; indicating that these GPs' behavior is affected by patient co-payment rates. Interestingly, we find evidence of significant reductions in suicide attempts - primarily among high-income women and low-income men. This indicates that better access to mental health care for adolescents may have a positive impact on their mental health and well-being.

Age, morbidity, or something else? A residual approach using microdata to measure the impact of technological progress on health care expenditure.

This study measures the increment of health care expenditure (HCE) that can be attributed to technological progress and change in medical practice by using a residual approach and microdata. We examine repeated cross-sections of individuals experiencing an initial health shock at different point in time over a 10-year window and capture the impact of unobservable technology and medical practice to which they are exposed after allowing for differences in health and socioeconomic characteristics. We decompose the residual increment in the part that is due to the effect of delaying time to death, that is, individuals surviving longer after a health shock and thus contributing longer to the demand of care, and the part that is due to increasing intensity of resource use, that is, the basket of services becoming more expensive to allow for the cost of innovation. We use data from the Danish National Health System that offers universal coverage and is free of charge at the point of access. We find that technological progress and change in medical practice can explain about 60% of the increment of HCE, in line with macroeconomic studies that traditionally investigate this subject.

Use of electronic patient data overview with alerts in primary care increases prescribing of lipid-lowering medications in patients with type 2 diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: We aimed to assess whether general practices (GPs) using an electronic disease management program (DMP) with population overviews, including alerts when patients failed to receive guideline-recommended prescription medications, increased prescriptions of lipid-lowering drugs for patients with type 2 diabetes with no history of lipid-lowering treatment. METHODS: This observational study included 165 GPs that reached a high level of use of the DMP in 2012 and a control group of 135 GPs who reached a high level of use in 2013 and, hence, who were less exposed to the DMP throughout 2012. A binary measure for having been prescribed and filled lipid-lowering drugs at any time within a 12-month exposure period was derived for all patients with type 2 diabetes who did not receive a prescription for lipid-lowering drugs in the baseline year prior to the study period (i.e. 2011). Results were derived using ORs from multivariate logistic regression analyses. Subgroup stratification based on age, sex, diabetes duration, deprivation status and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) score was conducted and assessed. Placebo tests were carried out to assess bias from selection to treatment. RESULTS: Patients who did not receive a prescription of lipid-lowering drugs in the year prior to being listed with GPs that used the DMP had statistically significant greater odds of receiving a prescription of lipid-lowering medications when compared with individuals who attended control GPs (OR 1.23 [95% CI 1.09, 1.38]). When the analysis period was shifted back by 2 years, no significant differences in lipid-lowering drug prescription between the two groups were found to occur, which indicates that these results were not driven by selection bias. Subgroup analyses showed that the increase in lipid-lowering drug prescriptions was primarily driven by changes among male participants (OR 1.32 [95% CI 1.12, 1.54]), patients aged 60-70 years (OR 1.40 [95% CI 1.13, 1.74]), patients with a diabetes duration of ≤5 years (OR 1.33 [95% CI 1.13, 1.56]), non-deprived patients (OR 1.25 [95% CI 1.08, 1.45]) and patients without comorbidities (CCI score = 0; OR 1.27 [95% CI 1.11, 1.45]). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Access to population overviews using a DMP with alerts of clinical performance measures with regard to adhering to guideline-recommended prescription of medications can increase GP prescriptions of lipid-lowering drugs.

Exploring equity in accessing diabetes management treatment: A healthcare gap analysis.

Healthcare inequities are often investigated empirically as associations between socio-economic characteristics and differences between observed healthcare utilisation and estimates of needs-based utilisation. However, the concept of 'need' is tricky to operationalise and utilisation may be contingent on inequities arising at an earlier stage. In this study, we apply a unique combination of register and survey data collected in 2019 to assess equity in opportunities to access treatment for patients with recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes. In the study of this population (N = 1864) we escape the challenge of estimating needs by arguing that need can be approximated from treatment guidelines within a nationwide framework of disease management programmes. Furthermore, instead of observed utilisation we use patient reports on whether they have been offered treatment as a measure of opportunities to access multiple components of care, that is, we focus on possible inequalities arising prior to possible utilisation inequalities. 'Healthcare gaps' are computed as the discrepancy between an index of guideline recommended treatments and patients' perceived offers of treatments, thus providing a novel take on the 'healthcare deprivation profiles' approach to the study of healthcare inequalities. Using this method, we explore and document inequalities along multiple dimensions of familiar socio-economic factors (income, education, occupation) as well as self-reported barriers to access. We also provide supporting evidence that healthcare gaps, as measured in our study, are associated with poorer quality of care, and that those who experience large gaps are more likely to be disadvantaged in terms of self-reported difficulties in relation to key self-care aspects. We conclude that even in a health system with comprehensive universal coverage, healthcare inequity can arise already at the stage of offering access to preventive treatment. The results warrant further research into the causes, consequences and remedies of such inequities.

The impact of patient-controlled hospital admissions among patients with severe mental disorders on health care cost: A nationwide register-based cohort study using quasi-experimental design.

To assess whether patient-controlled admissions (PCA) to psychiatric hospital wards have an effect on total health care costs in the short term and longer term compared with patients receiving treatment as usual (TAU). Based on Danish register data and using coarsened exact matching, patients who signed a contract for PCA during 2013-2016 were matched on observables with a control group of TAU patients identified from psychiatric registers. As primary outcome patients' expenditure was explored in 6-monthly intervals over the first 12 months, and as secondary outcome over the 12-24 month period after index month. To control for unobservable selection a quasi-experimental difference-in-difference design was applied on the matched population using the principle of intention to treat. 414 PCA patients (out of 423 available) were successfully matched with 7181 never exposed TAU patients (out of 67,331 available). Total healthcare costs for PCA patients were €8887 (95% CI 708-17,067) higher per month than unexposed TAU patients in the first six months after index. Monthly psychiatric costs were €8922 (95% CI 708-17,067) higher for PCA patients than for TAU patients. These differences persisted, in the next three six-monthly periods, albeit were not statistically significant, in the second six-monthly period after index. In conclusion, driven by the psychiatric costs, implementing PCA increased the total healthcare costs in the short term compared with TAU. More research of the impact on health care costs in a broader and long-term perspective is still needed.

Nationwide study on trends in unplanned hospital attendance and deaths during the 7 weeks after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in Denmark.

BACKGROUND: The impact of a pandemic on unplanned hospital attendance has not been extensively examined. The aim of this study is to report the nationwide consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic on unplanned hospital attendances in Denmark for 7 weeks after a 'shelter at home' order was issued. METHODS: We merged data from national registries (Civil Registration System and Patient Registry) to conduct a study of unplanned (excluding outpatient visits and elective surgery) hospital-based healthcare and mortality of all Danes. Using data for 7 weeks after the 'shelter at home' order, the incidence rate of unplanned hospital attendances per week in 2020 was compared with corresponding weeks in 2017-2019. The main outcome was hospital attendances per week as incidence rate ratios. Secondary outcomes were general population mortality and risk of death in-hospital, reported as weekly mortality rate ratios (MRRs). RESULTS: From 2 438 286 attendances in the study period, overall unplanned attendances decreased by up to 21%; attendances excluding COVID-19 were reduced by 31%; non-psychiatric by 31% and psychiatric by 30%. Out of the five most common diagnoses expected to remain stable, only schizophrenia and myocardial infarction remained stable, while chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbation, hip fracture and urinary tract infection fell significantly. The nationwide general population MRR rose in six of the recorded weeks, while MRR excluding patients who were COVID-19 positive only increased in two. CONCLUSION: The COVID-19 pandemic and a governmental national 'shelter at home' order was associated with a marked reduction in unplanned hospital attendances with an increase in MRR for the general population in two of 7 weeks, despite exclusion of patients with COVID-19. The findings should be taken into consideration when planning for public information campaigns.

Cost and quality impacts of treatment setting for type 2 diabetes patients with moderate disease severity: Hospital- vs. GP-based monitoring.

OBJECTIVES: This study investigates cost and quality implications of moving regular monitoring of patients with moderate severity type 2 diabetes (T2D) away from specialized hospital clinics into general practice (GP). METHODS: A 2016 cross-section of patients with moderate disease severity T2D were algorithmically identified using Danish administrative databases. 152,632 GP- and 21,359 hospital-monitored patients with T2D were identified. Total annual healthcare cost is decomposed into GP, medication, nonhospital-specialist, hospital outpatient and inpatient costs. Hospitalizations are used to proxy for quality of care. Cost and quality impacts of treatment setting are assessed using an instrumental variable (IV) analysis. A wide range of patient confounders are used to reduce selection bias, with the difference in patients' travel-time between nearest specialist outpatient clinic and GP used as an instrument to control for remaining endogeneity of treatment setting. Two-part models are used for zero-inflated outcomes. RESULTS: Average total annual healthcare cost were 14,056 DKK greater amongst hospital-monitored patients. IV analysis accounting for endogeneity of treatment setting indicates hospital-based monitoring is causally linked to higher total annual healthcare costs. The estimated local average treatment effect of hospital-based monitoring on total annual healthcare costs was higher (117.2%, 95% CI: 23.3%, 211.1%) than GP-based monitoring. No difference of treatment settings' quality based on evidence of hospitalizations was found. CONCLUSION: For patients with moderate disease severity T2D, IV analysis accounting for treatment setting endogeneity bias identifies an expected efficiency improvement (average cost reduction without reduction of quality) of moving regular disease management from hospital-based setting to the GP setting.

Efficacy and cost-effectiveness of a therapist-assisted web-based intervention for depression and anxiety in patients with ischemic heart disease attending cardiac rehabilitation [eMindYourHeart trial]: a randomised controlled trial protocol.

BACKGROUND: One in five patients with ischaemic heart disease (IHD) develop comorbid depression or anxiety. Depression is associated with risk of non-adherence to cardiac rehabilitation (CR) and dropout, inadequate risk factor management, poor quality of life (QoL), increased healthcare costs and premature death. In 2020, IHD and depression are expected to be among the top contributors to the disease-burden worldwide. Hence, it is paramount to treat both the underlying somatic disease as well as depression and anxiety. eMindYourHeart will evaluate the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of a therapist-assisted eHealth intervention targeting depression and anxiety in patients with IHD, which may help fill this gap in clinical care. METHODS: eMindYourHeart is a multi-center, two-armed, unblinded randomised controlled trial that will compare a therapist-assisted eHealth intervention to treatment as usual in 188 CR patients with IHD and comorbid depression or anxiety. The primary outcome of the trial is symptoms of depression, measured with the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) at 3 months. Secondary outcomes evaluated at 3, 6, and 12 months include symptoms of depression and anxiety (HADS), perceived stress, health complaints, QoL (HeartQoL), trial dropout (number of patients dropped out in either arm at 3 months) and cost-effectiveness. DISCUSSION: To our knowledge, this is the first trial to evaluate both the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of a therapist-assisted eHealth intervention in patients with IHD and comorbid psychological distress as part of CR. Integrating screening for and treatment of depression and anxiety into standard CR may decrease dropout and facilitate better risk factor management, as it is presented as "one package" to patients, and they can access the eMindYourHeart program in their own time and at their own convenience. The trial holds a strong potential for improving the quality of care for an increasing population of patients with IHD and comorbid depression, anxiety or both, with likely benefits to patients, families, and society at large due to potential reductions in direct and indirect costs, if proven successful. Trial registration The trial was prospectively registered on https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04172974 on November 21, 2019 with registration number [NCT04172974].

Evaluation of an Electronic Health Record System With a Disease Management Program and Health Care Treatment Costs for Danish Patients With Type 2 Diabetes.

Importance: Electronic health record (EHR) systems and disease management programs (DMP) are often promoted, but associated health care cost changes are not well understood. Objective: To evaluate the association between annual health care costs of patients with type 2 diabetes and the use of an electronic health record system with a disease management program (EHR/DMP) in general practice. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study examined patients with type 2 diabetes in Denmark between January 1, 2008, and December 31, 2014, who attended practices that either used an EHR/DMP at a high level or never used the disease management system. An EHR/DMP system was rolled out across general practices in Denmark beginning in 2011 and was discontinued in 2014. Data were analyzed between March 2019 and March 2020. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was total health care costs, and the secondary outcomes were primary care, medication, nonhospital specialist, and hospital (total, outpatient, inpatient, and emergency) costs. Regression models were used to estimate EHR/DMP-associated percentage differences in patients' annual health care treatment costs across health care treatment categories. All models included general practice-level fixed effects and patient-level controls. Two-part models examined robustness of estimated associations for hospital cost categories. Results: Of 33 970 patients included in the analysis, 15 953 (8016 [50.2%] male; mean [SD] age, 59.9 [13.3] years) attended 244 general practices that used the system at a high level, and 18 017 (9291 [51.6%] male; mean [SD] age, 60.0 [12.9] years) attended 344 general practices that had never used the system. Use of the EHR/DMP was associated with 3.2% higher (95% CI, 0.9%-5.6%) annual general practice treatment costs and with 6.4% lower (95% CI, -11.6% to -1.2%) annual hospital emergency visit costs. The associations between EHR/DMP use and annual total hospital (percentage difference, -0.8%; 95% CI, -7.5% to 5.7%) and total health care (percentage difference, -0.1%; 95% CI, -2.1% to 1.9%) cost changes were not statistically significant. Conclusions and Relevance: Among patients with type 2 diabetes, attendance at general practices that used an EHR/DMP was associated with a moderate increase in primary care costs and a reduction in emergency hospital visit costs but no significant change in total health care costs. Large health care cost savings associated with improved use of EHR-based disease management systems should not be expected to be realized in the short term.

Back disorder incidence and occupation in Denmark: a cross-sectional register-based study.

PURPOSE: The purpose of the present paper is (1) to describe the occupational distribution of persons with incident back disorders and (2) to determine the incidence rate ratio (RR) for back pain amongst patients working in specific occupation groups. METHODS: Using Danish registries, a total of 20,921 employed persons with incidents back disorders aged 18-64 years were identified in 2016 based on the inclusion criteria from the Danish Back Register. RR was estimated to test for differences in incident back disorder diagnoses across occupations. Pearson's Chi-square test was used to test for homogeneity in back disorder incidence across occupations. RESULTS: The distribution of back disorder incidence for employed is above the distribution of employment in the background population for all age groups above 35 years. For employed women the three occupation groups with the highest RR of back pain incidence are: 'water, sewage and waste'; 'residential institutions and home care'; and 'transport of passengers', while similarly, amongst employed men: 'hairdressers and other personal care'; 'hospitals'; and 'cleaning'. RR of incident back pain disorders is lowest for women employed in 'universities and research' and for men employed in 'IT and telecommunications'. CONCLUSIONS: This study is the first to investigate the occupational status and RR of back disorder incidence across occupation groups in Denmark. The distribution of back pain disorder incidents in the cross-sectional study is weighted to occupation groups involving hard physical activity. This evidence may be useful for considering work environment or pension reforms. These slides can be retrieved under Electronic Supplementary Material.

Does changed referral options affect the use of MRI for patients with low back pain? Evidence from a natural experiment using nationwide data.

OBJECTIVES: This study reports lumbar MRI referral patterns in the Region of Southern Denmark (RSD) and investigates the hypothesis that we will see an increase in imaging rates (MRI rates) following new referral options to lumbar MRI in the RSD in comparison with the other regions in Denmark from 2010 to 2013. DESIGN: A difference-in-difference (DD) analysis, using general practitioners (GPs) in other regions as control, was used to test if the new referral options had an effect on the MRI rates. SETTING: In 2010, RSD introduced organisational changes affecting the referral options for lumbar MRI. First, the possibility for direct referral to lumbar MRI was introduced GPs, and second, the region gathered all local spine departments into one specialist hospital called the Spine Centre. PARTICIPANTS: We retrieved all lumbar MRIs performed on patients aged 18+ performed on Danish hospitals from 2008 to 2013 using the registries from Statistics Denmark. We use sociodemographic information from all Danish citizens aged 18+ aggregated to GP level. Primary and secondary outcome measures: lumbar MRI scans per 1000 capita enlisted with a GP (MRI rates) were calculated based on GPs patient list. Four referral types were made to describe changes in referral patterns. RESULTS: In total 183 389 patients received 240 760 lumbar MRIs in the period. The use of the direct referral option by GPs in the RSD increased by 115% in the period from 2010 to 2013 and accounted for 34% of all referrals (n=6545) in 2013. MRI rates were significantly higher in RSD following the organisational changes (DD 1.389(0.925-1.852) lumbar MRI per 1.000 enlisted with a GP). CONCLUSIONS: Introduction of organisational changes in RSD as direct referral to lumbar MRI from GPs and chiropractors as well as establishing a Spine Centre increase the lumbar MRI rate in comparison with other regions in Denmark.

Health care inequality in free access health systems: The impact of non-pecuniary incentives on diabetic patients in Danish general practices.

Indicators of deprivation based on income and education might offer a blunt tool for inequality analysis in universal health systems with free access to care and thereby preventing the identification of groups experiencing the largest inequality. Also, analysis methods based on ranking the population by income or education, such as concentration curves and indices, are unsuitable for evaluating the impact of a health programme on inequality. This paper uses a new method for inequality analysis based on the Health Care Deprivation profiles' approach, allowing for: (1) considering multi-dimensional aspects of deprivation in the inequality analysis, (2) a graphical representation of the distribution of inequality, and (3) a range of additive decomposable inequality indices consistent with dominance. We apply this method and a Difference in Differences approach to evaluate the impact of a disease management programme aiming at reducing underutilisation of GP services for diabetic patients in Denmark. The programme introduced a set of non-pecuniary incentives empowering GPs with feedback reports on their performance and comparisons with other peers. Our study population includes 93,849 diabetic patients aged 18 + registered in 563 GP practices in Denmark; a total of 246 of these practices joined the programme, and 317 are used as control. The results show that patients experiencing the largest inequality in the top quintile of the distribution are characterised by deprivation in multiple socio-economic and morbidity dimensions that are not captured fully by income and education. The programme significantly reduced inequality in access to pivotal services, such as blood tests and preventive visits, for all patients and, with greater magnitude, for the most-deprived patients. Non-pecuniary incentives may be an effective tool for GPs to improve access to care in the most vulnerable patients.

The effectiveness of a stratified care model for non-specific low back pain in Danish primary care compared to current practice: study protocol of a randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Prior studies indicate that stratified care for low back pain results in better clinical outcome and reduced costs in healthcare compared to current practice. Stratified care may be associated with clinical benefits for patients with low back pain at a lower cost, but evidence is sparse. Hence this study aims to evaluate the clinical effects and cost-effectiveness of stratified care in patients with non-specific low back pain compared to current practice. METHODS/DESIGN: The study is a two-armed randomised controlled trial in primary care in the Regions of Southern and Central Denmark (2.5 million citizens). Patients with non-specific low back will be recruited by paticpating GPs. Patients are randomised to either (1) stratified care or (2) current practice at participating physiotherapy clinics. In the stratified care arm, the intervention is based on the patient's STarT Back Tool classification and trained accordingly, whereas physiotherapists in the current pratice arm are blinded to the STarT score. Primary outcomes in the trial will be group differences in time off work, improvement in LBP disability measured by the Roland Morris Disability Questionnaire (RMDQ) and patient-reported global change. Secondary measures will be pain intensity, patient satisfaction, data on patient healthcare resource utilisation and quality-adjusted life year based on the EQ-5D-5L. DISCUSSION: Stratified care that effectively targets treatment to relevant sub-groups of patients has potentially great impact on the treatment pathways of low back pain. Thus, if effective, this could result in better patient outcomes and at the same time reduce the costs for treatment of low back pain. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov , NCT02612467 . Registered on 16 November 2015.